South Africa’s agricultural sector has demonstrated robust performance in the first quarter of 2024, with recent trade data revealing a substantial trade surplus, driven by a surge in exports.
Wandile Sihlobo, chief economist at Agbiz, highlighted that the sector recorded a trade surplus of $1.4 billion, marking a notable 20% increase from the same period last year.
He underscored the pivotal role of efficient logistics in maintaining this growth trajectory. “Efficient logistics are the lifeblood of SA agriculture and other exporting sectors of the economy,” he said, stressing the need for ongoing collaboration between Transnet, organised business, and agricultural stakeholders to enhance port efficiencies.
He referenced challenges faced by the deciduous fruit industry earlier in the year at the Port of Cape Town, affirming the necessity for continuous improvement.

The positive export performance was underpinned by a 6% year-on-year increase in agricultural exports, reaching $3.1 billion in the first quarter, according to Trade Map data.
Sihlobo outlined grapes, apples, pears, maize, wine, and a range of other products among the leading exports, reflecting the sector’s diversified export portfolio.
Regionally, Africa retained its position as the primary market for South Africa’s agricultural exports, accounting for 42% of total exports.
The European Union regained its status as the second-largest market with a 22% share, surpassing Asia, while Asia and the Middle East collectively accounted for 19%. The Americas region followed with 6%, with the remainder spread across other global markets, including the UK.
Despite the encouraging first-quarter figures, Sihlobo cautioned about potential challenges ahead, such as a decline in grain exports due to adverse weather conditions that affected yield. He emphasised the importance of sustained policy support to bolster agricultural exports, including investments in infrastructure and strategic market diversification efforts.
Looking forward, the renowned economist outlined strategic priorities for maintaining export growth, including expanding market access in key regions like China, India, and Saudi Arabia. He stressed the significance of a balanced foreign policy approach to safeguard South Africa’s trade relations amidst global uncertainties.
Sihlobo urged concerted efforts from both the private sector and government to capitalise on the current momentum in agricultural exports. He said that such efforts are crucial not only for economic growth but also for job creation and overall economic resilience.
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